YANG Liu, ZHANG Jun, WANG Ying, YU Kunkun, CUI Liangliang. Risk Assessment on PM2.5 Related Excess Mortality in Jinan, 2016[J]. Journal of Environmental Hygiene, 2018, 8(3): 178-183. DOI: 10.13421/j.cnki.hjwsxzz.2018.03.004
    Citation: YANG Liu, ZHANG Jun, WANG Ying, YU Kunkun, CUI Liangliang. Risk Assessment on PM2.5 Related Excess Mortality in Jinan, 2016[J]. Journal of Environmental Hygiene, 2018, 8(3): 178-183. DOI: 10.13421/j.cnki.hjwsxzz.2018.03.004

    Risk Assessment on PM2.5 Related Excess Mortality in Jinan, 2016

    • Objectives To assess the risk of excess mortality caused by PM2.5 quantitatively.
      Methods Based on the data of air pollutants and exposure-mortality coefficient in Jinan recorded in previous study, the risk of PM2.5 related excess mortality in Jinan was estimated by using a proportional risk model.
      Results The risk of PM2.5 related excess death in 2016, including non-accidental causes, cardio-cerebro-vascular diseases, cerebrovascular disease and respiratory diseases, was in 1 867 (1 578~2 156) people, 1 645 (1 415~1 876) people, 225(157~287) people and 228 (184~271) people, respectively. Excess mortality caused by PM2.5 in winter and heating period was significantly higher than that in other period (P < 0.001). There were 99 haze days in Jinan in 2016. The risk of PM2.5 related excess mortality in haze days was significantly increased (P < 0.001).
      Conclusions Winter, heating period and high air PM2.5 concentration increased the risk of excess mortality. It suggested that PM2.5 control measures and residents' knowledge and the publicity on PM2.5 protection should be strengthened in the corresponding period.
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