上海市浦东新区非职业性一氧化碳中毒时空聚集性及气象关联性分析

    Spatial-temporal clustering and meteorological factor correlation analysis of non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning in Pudong New Area, Shanghai, China

    • 摘要:
      目的 了解近年来上海市浦东新区非职业性一氧化碳中毒的发生情况, 分析中毒发生的流行病学特征、时空分布规律以及与气象因素的关联性。
      方法 收集2022年11月—2025年9月上海市浦东新区非职业性一氧化碳中毒病例资料以及同期气象资料, 采用描述性分析和Spearman秩相关分析等方法, 结合ArcGIS可视化, 探讨中毒的时空分布特征及其与气象因素的关联。
      结果 2022年11月—2025年9月上海市浦东新区共报告非职业性一氧化碳中毒308例, 男女比为1∶1.26, 18~44岁为高发人群(65.9%), 主要为轻度中毒(75.0%), 中毒原因以煤、木炭火锅使用不当(35.7%)和煤、木炭、秸秆等燃料取暖(32.5%)为主; 家庭场所中毒事件占83.3%, 多为1~2人散发(1.3例/起), 总体发病呈U型分布, 高发于冬季(12—2月), 集中于中部区域; 餐饮场所中毒事件占8.6%, 易发生多人聚集性中毒(3.4例/起), 病例总体发病呈波动式, 高发于夏季(7月); 空间自相关分析结果显示全局莫兰指数为0.34(P < 0.001), 中毒分布存在空间正相关; 月平均气温(rs=-0.421, P=0.013)、月最高气温(rs=-0.411, P=0.016)、月最低气温(rs=-0.418, P=0.014)和相对湿度(rs=-0.506, P=0.002)与中毒发生呈负相关, 月平均气压(rs=0.437, P=0.010)则呈正相关。
      结论 非职业性一氧化碳中毒发生具有明显的时空分布特征和气象因素关联性。未来应结合居民健康相关行为调查和气象预警, 建立精准防控体系, 以减少中毒的发生。

       

      Abstract:
      Objective To investigate the prevalence of non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning in Pudong New Area, Shanghai, China in recent years, and analyze the epidemiological characteristics, spatial-temporal distribution patterns, and correlation with meteorological factors.
      Methods Data on non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning cases and concurrent meteorological data in Pudong New Area, Shanghai from November 2022 to September 2025 were collected. Descriptive analysis and Spearman rank correlation analysis were applied, combined with ArcGIS visualization, to explore the spatial-temporal distribution characteristics of poisoning cases and their correlation with meteorological factors.
      Results A total of 308 cases of non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning were reported in Pudong New Area, Shanghai from November 2022 to September 2025. The male-to-female ratio was 1∶1.26, and the high-risk age group was 18-44 years (65.9%). Most cases were mild poisoning (75.0%). The main causes of poisoning were improper use of coal/charcoal hot pot (35.7%) and heating with fuels such as coal, charcoal, and straw (32.5%). Household poisoning events accounted for 83.3%, mostly sporadic and involving 1-2 persons (1.3 cases per event). The cases generally exhibited a U-shaped distribution, peaking in winter (December-February) and concentrating in the central region. Poisoning events at food service establishments accounted for 8.6%, and they were prone to clustered poisoning (3.4 cases per event). The cases showed a fluctuating pattern with a peak in summer (July). Spatial autocorrelation analysis showed that the Global Moran's I value was 0.34 (P < 0.001), and there was a spatial positive correlation in the poisoning distribution. Monthly average temperature (rs=-0.421, P=0.013), monthly maximum temperature (rs=-0.411, P=0.016), monthly minimum temperature (rs=-0.418, P=0.014), and relative humidity (rs=-0.506, P=0.002) were negatively correlated with poisoning incidence, while monthly average atmospheric pressure (rs=0.437, P=0.010) was positively correlated.
      Conclusion Non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning demonstrates distinct spatial-temporal distribution patterns and is associated with meteorological factors. Future prevention efforts should integrate surveys of resident health-related behaviors and meteorological early warnings to establish a targeted prevention and control system for reducing the incidence of poisoning.

       

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