2023—2024年扬州市大气NO2短期暴露对医院每日门诊人次的影响

    Effect of short-term exposure to nitrogen dioxide on daily outpatient visits in Yangzhou, China, 2023—2024

    • 摘要:
      目的 分析二氧化氮(nitrogen dioxide, NO2)短期暴露对扬州市医院循环和呼吸系统疾病日均门诊量的影响。方法基于2023—2024年扬州市某三甲医院门诊资料、大气污染物及气象数据, 采用广义相加模型分析NO2浓度与两类疾病门诊量的关联, 调整时间趋势、节假日、星期几效应和气象因素, 探索滞后效应、双污染物混杂效应; 分层分析敏感人群并绘制暴露-反应曲线。
      结果 研究期间该医院循环系统和呼吸系统疾病日均门诊量M分别为459和595人次, NO2日均暴露水平为30 μg/m3。单日滞后分析显示, NO2在lag0 d和lag6 d暴露分别对循环系统和呼吸系统门诊量影响最显著, NO2浓度每升高10 μg/m3循环和呼吸系统门诊量分别增加1.46% (95%CI: 0.54%~2.38%)和1.64% (95%CI: 0.51%~2.78%)。累积滞后分析显示, 循环系统疾病在lag03 d时效应最大, 门诊量增加2.09% (95%CI: 1.20%~2.99%); 呼吸系统疾病在lag06d时效应最大, 门诊量增加7.46% (95%CI: 6.02%~8.91%)。校正PM2.5等共污染物的效应后, NO2效应保持稳健。呼吸系统疾病中, ≤18岁的儿童青少年对NO2暴露更敏感, 年龄层间效应存在异质性。循环系统疾病的暴露-反应曲线呈现非线性, 呼吸系统疾病则呈近似线性且无明显阈值效应。
      结论 NO2短期暴露显著增加两类疾病门诊风险, 需重点关注18岁以下儿童青少年呼吸系统防护, 并适时修订环境空气质量标准。

       

      Abstract:
      Objective To explore the effect of short-term exposure to nitrogen dioxide (NO2) on the daily mean outpatient visits for circulatory and respiratory diseases.
      Methods Based on the outpatient department data of a grade A tertiary hospital in Yangzhou, China, from 2023 to 2024, as well as air pollutants and meteorological data, a generalized additive model was used to analyze the association between NO2 concentration and outpatient visits for the two diseases. Adjusting for time trends, holidays, day-of-the-week effects, and meteorological factors, the lag effect and two-pollutant confounding effect were investigated. A stratified analysis was conducted for sensitive populations, and exposure-response curves were plotted.
      Results During the study period, the median daily outpatient visits for circulatory and respiratory diseases in the hospital were 459 and 595, respectively, and the mean daily exposure level of NO2 was 30 μg/m3. The single-day lag analysis showed that the effects of NO2 exposure at lag0 d and lag6 d were the strongest for circulatory and respiratory diseases, respectively. For every 10 μg/m3 increase in NO2 concentration, outpatient visits for circulatory and respiratory diseases increased by 1.46% (95% confidence interval CI: 0.54%-2.38%) and 1.64% (95%CI: 0.51%-2.78%), respectively. The cumulative lag effect analysis revealed that the most significant effect was observed at lag03 d for the circulatory system disease (with an increase in outpatient visits of 2.09% 95%CI: 1.20%-2.99%) and at lag06 d for the respiratory system disease (with an increase in outpatient visits of 7.46% 95%CI: 6.02%-8.91%). After adjusting for the effects of co-pollutants such as fine particulate matter (PM2.5), the effect of NO2 remained robust. Regarding respiratory diseases, children and adolescents aged ≤18 years were more sensitive to NO2 exposure, with heterogeneity across age groups observed. The exposure-response curve for circulatory diseases was non-linear, while that for respiratory diseases was nearly linear and had no pronounced threshold effect.
      Conclusion Short-term exposure to NO2 significantly increases the risk of outpatient visits for both diseases. Special attention should be paid to respiratory protection for children and adolescents under the age of 18 years, and the environmental air quality standards should be revised in a timely manner.

       

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