韩玲, 王梦琪, 熊为锋, 贺娟, 孙兆彬. PM2.5长期暴露对北京市居民肺癌发病的影响[J]. 环境卫生学杂志, 2022, 12(12): 870-877, 902. DOI: 10.13421/j.cnki.hjwsxzz.2022.12.004
    引用本文: 韩玲, 王梦琪, 熊为锋, 贺娟, 孙兆彬. PM2.5长期暴露对北京市居民肺癌发病的影响[J]. 环境卫生学杂志, 2022, 12(12): 870-877, 902. DOI: 10.13421/j.cnki.hjwsxzz.2022.12.004
    HAN Ling, WANG Meng-qi, XIONG Wei-feng, HE Juan, SUN Zhao-bin. Impact of PM2.5 long-term exposure on lung cancer incidence in Beijing residents, China[J]. Journal of Environmental Hygiene, 2022, 12(12): 870-877, 902. DOI: 10.13421/j.cnki.hjwsxzz.2022.12.004
    Citation: HAN Ling, WANG Meng-qi, XIONG Wei-feng, HE Juan, SUN Zhao-bin. Impact of PM2.5 long-term exposure on lung cancer incidence in Beijing residents, China[J]. Journal of Environmental Hygiene, 2022, 12(12): 870-877, 902. DOI: 10.13421/j.cnki.hjwsxzz.2022.12.004

    PM2.5长期暴露对北京市居民肺癌发病的影响

    Impact of PM2.5 long-term exposure on lung cancer incidence in Beijing residents, China

    • 摘要:
      目的  研究PM2.5长期暴露对北京市居民肺癌发病的影响。
      方法  利用2004年8月9日—2012年12月31日北京市气象数据、PM2.5质量浓度数据及肺癌发病数据,采用非参数广义相加模型(generalized additive model,GAM),建立PM2.5长期暴露对肺癌发病人群、腺癌人群、不同年龄及不同性别人群的暴露—反应关系,评估PM2.5长期暴露对肺癌发病人数的影响。
      结果  PM2.5影响肺癌发病人群、腺癌人群、女性、30~64岁及65~74岁人群的关键暴露时间窗口为3年;影响男性及≥75岁人群肺癌发病的关键暴露时间窗口为5年。对于总人群来说,3年平均PM2.5质量浓度每上升10 μg/m,肺癌发病的相对危险度(relative risk,RR)为1.23(95%CI:1.03~1.46),腺癌的发病风险为1.48(95%CI:1.05~2.08)。在不同性别人群中,PM2.5长期暴露对男性肺癌发病影响较女性大;在不同年龄组人群中,PM2.5长期暴露对≥75岁人群肺癌发病的影响较大,但不同性别、年龄分层间的差异无统计学意义(P>0.05)。
      结论  长期暴露于PM2.5可显著增加北京市居民肺癌发病的风险,尤其是男性和老年(≥75岁)人群。

       

      Abstract:
      Objective  To explore the impact of long-term exposure to fine particulate matter (PM2.5) on the incidence of lung cancer in Beijing residents in China.
      Methods  Based on the data of meteorological data, PM2.5 mass concentrations and the incidence of lung cancer, the exposure-response relationships among long-term exposure to PM2.5 and the lung cancer population, adenocarcinoma population, and gender-specific and age-specific populations were established by the nonparametric generalized additive model, and the impact of long-term exposure to PM2.5 on the incidence of lung cancer was assessed.
      Results  The critical exposure time window was 3 years for the lung cancer population, adenocarcinoma population, females, and populations aged 30-64 and 65-74 years, and was 5 years for males and populations aged ≥ 75 years by the impact of PM2.5. For the total population, the relative risks (RRs) of lung cancer and adenocarcinoma incidence, were 1.23 (95% confidence intervalCI: 1.03-1.46) and 1.48 (95% CI: 1.05-2.08), respectively, with each 10 μg/m3 increase in the 3-year average PM2.5 mass concentrations. For gender-specific populations, the RR of lung cancer incidence due to long-term exposure to PM2.5 was greater in males than in females. For age-specific populations, the RR of lung cancer incidence due to long-term exposure to PM2.5 was greater in populations aged ≥ 75 years. However, differences between different gender and age stratifications were not statistically significant (P>0.05).
      Conclusion  Long-term exposure to PM2.5 significantly increases the risk of lung cancer incidence in Beijing residents especially in males and the elderly (≥ 75 years).

       

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