郝海燕, 郑卉, 赵春妮, 张瑞琦, 王刚, 李伟, 刘峰, 刘毅刚. PM2.5暴露对石家庄市居民非意外死亡的健康风险评估[J]. 环境卫生学杂志, 2020, 10(5): 447-453, 465. DOI: 10.13421/j.cnki.hjwsxzz.2020.05.007
    引用本文: 郝海燕, 郑卉, 赵春妮, 张瑞琦, 王刚, 李伟, 刘峰, 刘毅刚. PM2.5暴露对石家庄市居民非意外死亡的健康风险评估[J]. 环境卫生学杂志, 2020, 10(5): 447-453, 465. DOI: 10.13421/j.cnki.hjwsxzz.2020.05.007
    HAO Haiyan, ZHENG Hui, ZHAO Chunni, ZHANG Ruiqi, WANG Gang, LI Wei, LIU Feng, LIU Yigang. Health Risk Assessment of PM2.5 Exposure on Non-accidental Deaths among Residents in Shijiazhuang, Hebei Province, China[J]. Journal of Environmental Hygiene, 2020, 10(5): 447-453, 465. DOI: 10.13421/j.cnki.hjwsxzz.2020.05.007
    Citation: HAO Haiyan, ZHENG Hui, ZHAO Chunni, ZHANG Ruiqi, WANG Gang, LI Wei, LIU Feng, LIU Yigang. Health Risk Assessment of PM2.5 Exposure on Non-accidental Deaths among Residents in Shijiazhuang, Hebei Province, China[J]. Journal of Environmental Hygiene, 2020, 10(5): 447-453, 465. DOI: 10.13421/j.cnki.hjwsxzz.2020.05.007

    PM2.5暴露对石家庄市居民非意外死亡的健康风险评估

    Health Risk Assessment of PM2.5 Exposure on Non-accidental Deaths among Residents in Shijiazhuang, Hebei Province, China

    • 摘要:
      目的 了解石家庄市PM2.5污染及居民非意外死亡的季节性分布,评估不同浓度限值下PM2.5造成的超额死亡风险。
      方法 收集石家庄市居民非意外死亡监测资料,并获取同期空气质量数据,采用SPSS 22.0、R3.6.0进行数据整理、分析。
      结果 2013—2017年石家庄市PM2.5超标较为严重,且秋、冬季节浓度较高,冬季最大值可达771 μg/m3。2013—2017年冬季50%以上天数PM2.5浓度在149 μg/m3以上;PM2.5参考浓度标准分别取75、35和25 μg/m3时,归因于PM2.5的非意外总超额死亡人数分别为2 087、3 264和3 646人,归因于PM2.5的循环系统超额死亡人数分别为1 636、2 558和2 851人,归因于PM2.5的呼吸系统超额死亡人数分别为230、353和398人。超额死亡人数存在季节变化,从高到低依次为:冬季>秋季>春季>夏季,冬季超额死亡人数达全年最高。
      结论 随着PM2.5标准限制的提高,其造成的超额死亡人数越高;随着PM2.5超标情况逐年改善,由PM2.5污染造成的过早死亡人数逐年减少;冬季为PM2.5造成损失较为严重季节,应作为PM2.5防治的重点。

       

      Abstract:
      Objective To investigate the seasonal distribution of PM2.5 pollution and non-accidental deaths of residents in Shijiazhuang, Hebei province, China, and to evaluate the risk of excess death caused by PM2.5 under different concentration standards.
      Methods The monitoring data of non-accidental deaths of residents in Shijiazhuang were collected, and air quality data were obtained during the same period. SPSS 22.0 and R3.6.0 were used to collate and analyze the data.
      Results From 2013 to 2017, the PM2.5 concentration in Shijiazhuang severely exceeded the standard, and the concentrations were relatively high in autumn and winter, with a maximum value of 771 μg/m3 in winter. From 2013 to 2017, the PM2.5 concentration was above 149 μg/m3 in more than 50% of the days in winter. When the reference concentration standard of PM2.5 was set at 75, 35, and 25 μg/m3, respectively, the total number of non-accidental excess deaths attributed to PM2.5 was 2 087, 3 264, and 3 646, respectively, of which the number of excess deaths from circulatory diseases attributed to PM2.5 was 1 636, 2 558, and 2 851, respectively, and the number of excess deaths from respiratory diseases attributed to PM2.5 was 230, 353, and 398, respectively.The number of excess deaths varied among seasons and from high to low was: winter > autumn > spring > summer. The number of excess deaths in winter was the highest of the year.
      Conclusion With the tightening of the PM2.5 standard, the obtained number of excess deaths caused by PM2.5 increases.With the decreases of the PM2.5 pollution, the premature deaths caused by PM2.5 pollution are reduced year by year.Winter is the season when losses caused by PM2.5 are relatively severe, which should be the focus of PM2.5 control.

       

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