葛覃兮, 倪雪, 吕锡芳, 李莉, 王强. 环境因素对我国PM2.5急性过早死亡风险修饰作用的Meta分析[J]. 环境卫生学杂志, 2018, 8(6): 458-465. DOI: 10.13421/j.cnki.hjwsxzz.2018.06.003
    引用本文: 葛覃兮, 倪雪, 吕锡芳, 李莉, 王强. 环境因素对我国PM2.5急性过早死亡风险修饰作用的Meta分析[J]. 环境卫生学杂志, 2018, 8(6): 458-465. DOI: 10.13421/j.cnki.hjwsxzz.2018.06.003
    GE Tanxi, NI Xue, LYU Xifang, LI Li, WANG Qiang. Environmental Factors on Risk of Acute Cardiovascular Premature Death Caused by Ambient Air PM2.5 Exposure in China: Meta-analysis[J]. Journal of Environmental Hygiene, 2018, 8(6): 458-465. DOI: 10.13421/j.cnki.hjwsxzz.2018.06.003
    Citation: GE Tanxi, NI Xue, LYU Xifang, LI Li, WANG Qiang. Environmental Factors on Risk of Acute Cardiovascular Premature Death Caused by Ambient Air PM2.5 Exposure in China: Meta-analysis[J]. Journal of Environmental Hygiene, 2018, 8(6): 458-465. DOI: 10.13421/j.cnki.hjwsxzz.2018.06.003

    环境因素对我国PM2.5急性过早死亡风险修饰作用的Meta分析

    Environmental Factors on Risk of Acute Cardiovascular Premature Death Caused by Ambient Air PM2.5 Exposure in China: Meta-analysis

    • 摘要:
      目的 汇总分析我国大气PM2.5心血管疾病急性过早死亡风险及环境因素对其死亡风险影响的修饰作用。
      方法  根据PRISMA原则,检索中外数据库于1990-2017年公开发表的文献,纳入有关PM2.5和我国居民心血管疾病过早死亡的时间序列研究和病例交叉研究,提取相对危险度(RR)或超额死亡率(ER),使用R 3.5.1进行Meta分析,并以环境温度、相对湿度和大气O3质量浓度为调整因子,用Meta回归对这些混杂因素的修饰作用进行分析。
      结果 共纳入20篇文献,Meta分析结果显示我国大气PM2.5浓度每升高10 μg/m3,人群心血管疾病患者急性过早死亡风险增加0.50%(RR=1.005 0,95%CI:1.003 6~1.006 3);Meta回归结果显示相对湿度对PM2.5的过早死亡风险存在显著的修饰作用,相对湿度每增加10%,PM2.5的心血管疾病患者过早死亡风险增高13.20%(RR=1.132 0,95%CI:1.028 4~1.246 1),温度对PM2.5的过早死亡风险也有一定的修饰作用(边缘显著,P=0.060 2),但未见O3对PM2.5的过早死亡风险存在显著的修饰作用(P=0.534 7)。
      结论 高温、高湿天气可能显著增加PM2.5心血管疾病急性过早死亡风险。

       

      Abstract:
      Objectives To summarize and explore the risk of acute cardiovascular premature death (CVD) caused by exposure to ambient air PM2.5 and analyze the effect of environmental factors on CVD death risk caused by PM2.5.
      Methods Based on the PRISMA principle, literatures published in 1990-2017 on time-series studies or case-crossover studies of CVD death risk and ambient air PM2.5 exposure in China were retrieved from database for systematic review and meta-analysis. Relative risk (RR) or extra death rate (ER) was extracted from these studies to estimate the summarized CVD death risk caused by PM2.5. Software R 3.5.1 was used to perform meta-analysis. The modification of environmental factors on the CVD death risk caused by PM2.5 was tested by meta-regression.
      Results According to the inclusion and exclusion criteria applied in this study, 20 published studies were included. Results of meta-analysis showed that the estimated acute CVD death risk caused by PM2.5 was 0.50% (RR=1.005 0, 95%CI:1.003 6~1.006 3) for every increase of 10 μg/m3PM2.5. Ambient air temperature, relative humidity and ambient air ozone concentration were used as numeric modulators separately in the model. Meta-regressions showed that the CVD death risk caused by PM2.5 might be significantly increased by 13.20% (RR=1.132 0, 95% CI:1.028 4~1.246 1) for every increase of 10% relative humidity; the CVD death risk caused by PM2.5 might bemodified by ambient air temperature (marginally significant, P=0.060 2) and ambient air ozone concentration had no significant confounding effects (P=0.534 7).
      Conclusions Hot and wet weather might significantly increase the risk of acute premature death of cardiovascular diseases caused by exposure to PM2.5.

       

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