栾桂杰, 李湉湉, 殷鹏, 周脉耕. 2010年北京市高温热浪对居民死亡的影响[J]. 环境卫生学杂志, 2015, 5(6): 525-529. DOI: 10.13421/j.cnki.hjwsxzz.2015.06.008
    引用本文: 栾桂杰, 李湉湉, 殷鹏, 周脉耕. 2010年北京市高温热浪对居民死亡的影响[J]. 环境卫生学杂志, 2015, 5(6): 525-529. DOI: 10.13421/j.cnki.hjwsxzz.2015.06.008
    LUAN Guijie, LI Tiantian, YIN Peng, ZHOU Maigeng. Heat Wave Impact on Mortality in Beijing in 2010[J]. Journal of Environmental Hygiene, 2015, 5(6): 525-529. DOI: 10.13421/j.cnki.hjwsxzz.2015.06.008
    Citation: LUAN Guijie, LI Tiantian, YIN Peng, ZHOU Maigeng. Heat Wave Impact on Mortality in Beijing in 2010[J]. Journal of Environmental Hygiene, 2015, 5(6): 525-529. DOI: 10.13421/j.cnki.hjwsxzz.2015.06.008

    2010年北京市高温热浪对居民死亡的影响

    Heat Wave Impact on Mortality in Beijing in 2010

    • 摘要:
      目的  研究高温热浪对北京市居民死亡的影响。
      方法  将2010年7月2-8日和7月23-29日作为"热浪期", 按照天数相同、星期匹配等原则在"热浪期"前后选择两周作为"对照期"(2010年6月11-17日和2010年8月13-19日), 通过计算"热浪期"与"对照期"的相对危险度和"热浪期"的超额死亡人数来评估高温对居民死亡的影响。
      结果  2010年北京热浪共造成558人的超额死亡, 导致人群总死亡率增加22%(RR=1.22, 95%CI:1.15~1.28), 高温热浪对心血管疾病和呼吸系统疾病的死亡的影响均具有统计学意义。
      结论  高温热浪可能增加居民死亡, 尤其是心血管疾病和呼吸系统患者的死亡。

       

      Abstract:
      Objectives  To assess the impact of heat wave on the mortality in Beijing.
      Methods  The days in July 2-8 and July 23-29 in 2010 were defined as heat wave periods. The days in June 11-17 and August 13-19 in 2010 were selected as control period according to the same number of days and in the same week days, which were closed to the heat wave period. Excess death and the rate ratio (RR) of mortality in heat wave period were calculated and compared with those in the control period.
      Results  The total number of excess death during the heat wave period was 513, and the heat wave in 2010 caused a 22% increase of all-cause mortality. The impact was statistically significant for the mortality of cardiovascular and respiratory diseases.
      Conclusion  There was a substantial impact of heat wave in 2010 on the mortality in Beijing, particularly for cardiovascular and respiratory diseases.

       

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